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Ajanta Pharma’s Rs 285 crore share buyback can yield up to 6% return for retail investors

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Ajanta Pharma’s Rs 285 crore share buyback programme through the tender route, in which the company is offering to buyback 10.28 lakh shares at a premium of nearly 15% from the current market price, can yield a return of up to 6%, shows Axis Securities calculations.

Ajanta has fixed May 30 as the record date for its buyback of 0.82% of the aggregate paid-up share capital of the company at Rs 2,770 per share. The pharma stock was trading at Rs 2,399.55, up 1% on BSE around 1:30 pm on Monday.

In its calculation, the domestic brokerage has given two scenarios for retail investors with holdings of less than Rs 2 lakh:

Scenario 1: Minimum Acceptance Ratio of 2%, where all participants tender 100% of their shares

The small shareholder category holds 6.3% (79.49 lakh shares) of the total holding. As per the guidelines, 15% of the total buyback is reserved for the “Small Shareholders” category.

Based on this, the brokerage firm calculates a minimum acceptance ratio of 2% for the small shareholder category.

Agencies


Scenario 2: – Minimum Acceptance Ratio of 6%, where 30% participation is assumed by small retail holders

In this scenario, Axis Securities assumes only 30% of investor’s tender for the buyback offer, further lowering public holding to 23.84 lakh shares. This would result in an acceptance Ratio of 6%.

small shareholders -case 2 -- ATTACHEDAgencies

The return expected (payoff chart below) out of this buyback for the small shareholder category would be 6%-6.3% for a minimum acceptance ratio of 2%-6% (assuming the post-buyback share price is Rs 2,510/share) and the buyback price of Rs 2,770/share.

Share price post offerAgencies


Below is a table of scenario analysis of the buyback for different acceptance ratios:

acceptance ratiosAgencies

The return expected (payoff chart below) out of this buyback for the small shareholder category would be 6%-6.3% for a minimum acceptance ratio of 2%-6% (assuming the post-buyback share price is Rs 2,510/share) and the buyback price of Rs 2,770/share.

Further, Axis Securities also expects a return of 5% in the next 3-4 months for the general category investors (whose capital exceeds Rs 2 lakh), assuming the post buyback price of Rs 2,510/share at FY26E P/E of 29X.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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